According to Bradley Martin, North Korea is beyond nukesâ€â€it's the economy, stupid, that matters now!
While North Korea is hardly going pacifist seven months after testing an atomic device, the propaganda shift may signal a significant change in policy, according to expatriate businessmen living in the isolated country. Now that it is a nuclear power, North Korea appears to be directing more resources to improving an economy on its knees after decades of sanctions and isolation, they say.
Korean officials â€ūare now confident they can defend their country,'’ said Felix Abt, the Swiss president of PyongSu Pharma Joint Venture Co. Ltd., which recently started manufacturing painkillers and antibiotics in Pyongyang. â€ūTheir next priority is economic development.'’
The policy emphasizes light industry to produce consumer goods. It was formally expressed in a joint editorial that was run at the beginning of the year in three major newspapers published by the regime, Abt said.
This emphasis on improving the North Korean economy was also apparent in Kim Jong-il's inspections this past year.
Last year, when nuclear experiments were enforced, 66 army inspections and army-related events were achieved while raising a confrontational front to the United States. Immediately after the nuclear tests, it spared 16 events in the economic areas of Wonsan Farm and South Hankyung Province Industry Scene while putting forth a confident image under â€ūimprovement of civilian lives.â€?
North Korean advertising media have cast their spotlight as if to show their interest in economic issues while relaying the news of Kim Jong Il’s inspections of Chungjin in North Hamkyung last February, the 4th Taechun power plant, and Jakangdo industry scene.
Further, the North Korean media, through sound arguments via Rodung Shinmum, maintained, â€ūThe days when our people can live well are not too far off.â€? Accordingly, Kim Jong Il’s back-to-back industry inspection walks were portrayed as intentions to renew the impoverished civilian lives in contrast with the past that stressed army inspections.
However, the grandiose promise of â€ūimproving civilian livesâ€? did not show much difference after the economy-related facility visits. Therefore, looking after the army by Kim Jong Il, who does not have a vision or will regarding opening and reforms, may be an inevitable course of action.
South Korea seems to be the main beneficiary of this new economic surge. DPRK-ROK trade increased 25%, predominantly because of Gaeseong, with commercial trade in zinc bullion, sand, fishery items, shoes and clothing topping the list.
Another weird manifestation of this new economic surge seems to be an incentive policy to encourage childbirths (eliminating the political causes of famine would be a better idea!). I've always considering pro-family policies sinister, but Pyongyang's adoption of another South Korean social program (and only in Hamgyung province?) almost clinches it for me.
If a couple gives birth to a second child in the district of Hamheung, South Hamkyung, the whole family will receive 6 months worth of distributions, a source informed. If a third child is born, the rations increase all the more.
After giving birth to a child in a hospital, a married woman from Hamheung can obtain a birth certificate, which is then submitted to the local district office, to receive distributions equivalent to a family of 4. These proposals resemble policies implemented by local district offices in South Korea.
Though Hamheung city has made efforts to increase the birthrate with distributions, the people’s response is all but cold, the source said. How many people would really have a second child just to scavenge off a few months worth of distributions.
One of the main reasons that the birthrate is decreasing in North Korea is due to the fact that women are avoiding giving birth, informed the source.
The source said, â€ūNowadays, North Korean women engage in businesses and are the breadwinners of the family. They are not satisfied with just having children and bringing them upâ€? and added, â€ūEveryone knows that it is hard enough to live and even harder if you have a lot of children.â€?
North and South Korean sisters, unite!
The one thread holding all these measures together is contempt for the US. As Martin reports:
â€ūThe saying goes in Korea, `If there are many clouds, it will soon rain,â€?’ the 28-year-old career officer said. â€ūWe can’t feel safe until the U.S. gives up its hostile attitude.'’
Han eventually responded to a question about what he thought of his government’s spending money on a huge military apparatusâ€â€North Korea’s troop strength is the world’s fourth largestâ€â€while people don’t have enough food.
â€ūWe receive fright and oppression from the U.S., so I cannot hide that our living standard is not high,'’ Han said. â€ūWe were on an arduous march for a long time. Now we are very proud because we defended socialism with the military-first policy. A strong country can defend itself, but the weak will be beaten down.â€?
Pyongyang's message jives with the argument in a new book written by William Langewiesche reviewed by The Economist, The Atomic Bazaar: The Rise of the Nuclear Poor.
Mr Langewiesche's message is the same as Einstein's: proliferation is inevitable. Nakedly discriminatory, the NPT was at best